Senior Manager, US Forecasting

Career Category Sales & Marketing Operations Job Description Join Amgen’s Mission of Serving Patients At Amgen, if you feel like you’re part of something bigger, it’s because you are. Our shared mission—to serve patients living with serious illnesses—drives all that we do. Since 1980, we’ve helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the world’s toughest diseases. With our focus on four therapeutic areas –Oncology, Inflammation, General Medicine, and Rare Disease– we reach millions of patients each year. As a member of the Amgen team, you’ll help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research, manufacture, and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer, fuller happier lives. Our award-winning culture is collaborative, innovative, and science based. If you have a passion for challenges and the opportunities that lay within them, you’ll thrive as part of the Amgen team. Join us and transform the lives of patients while transforming your career. Senior Manager, US Forecasting What you will do Let’s do this. Let’s change the world. The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. As a Forecasting Senior Manager, you will contribute significantly to our inline brand strategy, executing and managing discussions with brand leads and commercial leaders. The individual in this role will need to strategically influence and challenge a diverse set of collaborators from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and markets they support. This role reports to the Director of Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Business Analytics and Insights (BAI). Flexible Commuter role to Thousand Oaks office. You will work on-site 2-3 days a week. Advanced Forecasting Techniques: Ability to build detailed and advanced forecast model (patient, Rx, sales, Rx Based, etc.) projecting units and revenue for our inline products by indication/regions Use advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending) to quantify uncertainty Leverage diverse pharmaceutical data sources and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches and methodologies Leads methodology development and ensures consistency across multiple brand forecasts Designs forecasting frameworks adaptable for 'what-if' and scenario planning Market Analysis and Competitor Intelligence: Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions Develop an objective brand strategy by integrating insights across multiple functions and capability areas Interprets policy and pricing changes (e.g., IRA, access shifts) and quantifies their impact Collaboration and Stakeholder Engagement: Act as the key point of contact for global brand leads, engaging them in forecasting deliverables Facilitate discussions and build consensus among partners to establish clear and rigorous worldwide sales expectations for pipeline assets Advises cross-functional teams on implications of clinical milestones and competitive events Owns multi-brand forecasts; challenges entrenched assumptions; drives process improvements across cycles Strategic Insights and Recommendations: Support leadership in identifying actionable strategies to improve Commercial potential, prioritizing risks and opportunities Provide informed recommendations on product development continuation or discontinuation based on market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals Maintains awareness of broader market dynamics and integrates them into TA-level forecasts Communication and Presentation: Develop and deliver transparent presentations that articulate key variables in the forecast, ensuring comprehensive understanding for decision-makers Use communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended courses of action Narrates drivers of forecast change; frames forecasts in terms of strategic risks and opportunities Collaboration with BAI: Collaborate with the broader BAI organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into forecast development Improve the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization Explores AI/ML and automation; identifies team capability gaps and builds skills. Process Optimization: Drive productivity and efficiency by streamlining forecasting processes where possible Oversees deliverables across brands/assets; ensures forecasts are auditable and scalable What we expect of you We are all different, yet we all use our unique contributions to serve patients. The forecasting professional we seek is a leader with these qualifications. Basic Qualifications: Doctorate degree and 2 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience OR Master’s degree and 4 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience OR Bachelor’s degree and 6 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience OR Associate’s degree and 10 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience OR High school diploma / GED and 12 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience Preferred Qualifications: Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling, and data analysis. Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, Word Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical partners Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions Experience in contributing to the development of long-term business plans based on forecasting insights What you can expect of us As we work to develop treatments that take care of others, we also work to care for your professional and personal growth and well-being. From our competitive benefits to our collaborative culture, we’ll support your journey every step of the way. The expected annual salary range for this role in the U.S. (excluding Puerto Rico) is posted. Actual salary will vary based on several factors including but not limited to, relevant skills, experience, and qualifications. In addition to the base salary, Amgen offers a Total Rewards Plan, based on eligibility, comprising of health and welfare plans for staff and eligible dependents, financial plans with opportunities to save towards retirement or other goals, work/life balance, and career development opportunities that may include: A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions, group medical, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and flexible spending accounts A discretionary annual bonus program, or for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive plan Stock-based long-term incentives Award-winning time-off plans Flexible work models, including remote and hybrid work arrangements, where possible Apply now and make a lasting impact with the Amgen team. careers.amgen.com In any materials you submit, you may redact or remove age-identifying information such as age, date of birth, or dates of school attendance or graduation. You will not be penalized for redacting or removing this information. Application deadline Amgen does not have an application deadline for this position; we will continue accepting applications until we receive a sufficient number or select a candidate for the position. Sponsorship Sponsorship for this role is not guaranteed. As an organization dedicated to improving the quality of life for people around the world, Amgen fosters an inclusive environment of diverse, ethical, committed and highly accomplished people who respect each other and live the Amgen values to continue advancing science to serve patients. Together, we compete in the fight against serious disease. Amgen is an Equal Opportunity employer and will consider all qualified applicants for employment without regard to race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, protected veteran status, disability status, or any other basis protected by applicable law. We will ensure that individuals with disabilities are provided reasonable accommodation to participate in the job application or interview process, to perform essential job functions, and to receive other benefits and privileges of employment. Please contact us to request accommodation. . Salary Range 141,736.65USD -191,761.35 USD